Sports bets can be very profitable if you know the secrets the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a great case in point. My partner and i analyzed often the Western side Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had often the edge in the game. Nevertheless , We also understood that there initially were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This online game provides all the indicators of being one connected with the ideal games associated with the year, along with the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming again from getting down large in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the action appear like this year?
In the event that this activity were appearing played from some sort of fairly neutral field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.
These are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, the added in bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like substantially, but in a close up match-up like this, that spare point might make the big difference between the push and even a loss.
But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home video games.
And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since December 18, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for every game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points each game from home. In เว็บบอลที่ดีที่สุด failed to do the figures, that means considering their own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating his or her competitors by simply about thirty four factors per game.
What’s more amazing, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by way of 13 items per game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Almost all of those stats were being built up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already had recent games that has they also have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that this is still a close video game to call. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off this kind of game and not bet at all. There are better games this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.
The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big that they can may still win soon after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of activity, people serious regarding wagering saved money they can put to better apply on upcoming games.